Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #228283

Tru-Juice VS Chapelton

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.34%
Draw
20.26%
Away
11.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1543
Log loss
0.3807

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
f256e5811438fd3fe9e3ef50115b44e5f726d53a83d56e851dfaa64c42fa93a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →