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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228241

Slovakia U18 VS Hungary U18

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.38%
Draw
22.94%
Away
28.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9101
Log loss
1.4723

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
3cecc61b55ae85bb69beb74f5d1ca8089368f6aaf8757cd533603701e95fbc0e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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