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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228231

Bakaridjan VS Afrique Football Élite

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.66%
Draw
29.08%
Away
29.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5105
Log loss
0.8756

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
9aa55cbacf3acb053c6a26bb752a9567d41c6ef4936dd3a773e8e12bfe34ab25

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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