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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228183

Olympic El Qanah VS Future FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.29%
Draw
27.19%
Away
45.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8098
Log loss
1.2986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
5de573a9e7318bab20edd461278625a203454599b303b19f6ba183c09ead62fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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