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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228004

Atlántico VS Universidad O&M

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.27%
Draw
20.34%
Away
56.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2857
Log loss
0.5729

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
3f314888fc795faf2d7663b2a5b5f2741e36ee69b2f63b818b59894d51182e46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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