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Frozen pre-match forecast · #227914

Altrincham VS Notts County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.31%
Draw
24.41%
Away
45.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
e32c7f9cca06c4f7fce5332ec0a47dab9ab621b0a76139c890740f90962c7713

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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