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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22750

Skövde AIK VS Olympic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.89%
Draw
19.95%
Away
20.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2413
Log loss
0.5127

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
9eb8832c103200de13094081ff5ea47eb592912d39928b6ba174c90221dfee27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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