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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2273

VPS VS KuPS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.22%
Draw
30.98%
Away
45.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4436
Log loss
0.7808

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
a2597cd3f1f5295359e6d0869199784f91d6e2ed7bf4cad8fdc3f13b2355eabf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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