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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22716

Bahlinger SC VS Normannia Gmünd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.24%
Draw
45.20%
Away
10.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5264
Log loss
0.8155

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
4f68f912565fc3f37456ea2227afb749c401dedb24dfc90abd61d5eb257fcdc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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