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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22686

Púchov VS MŠK Senec

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.10%
Draw
21.51%
Away
11.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1675
Log loss
0.3990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
2448a2aaaac29aff8304739cd4c1d26c220b8422c66db2910ebcac53a032961d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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