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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22675

Šamorín VS Lokomotíva Zvolen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.79%
Draw
22.38%
Away
4.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1265
Log loss
0.3176

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
44e348b1fdabe4a2ebae3283becbd6dd31250a6575b68db024ef5db71551f301

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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