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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226648

Dukla Banská Bystrica VS AS Trencin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.11%
Draw
23.57%
Away
48.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8059
Log loss
1.2690

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
59b75e91609e9f9d56df650f648d37261758dd0f1d8f57e59cb043005425bc49

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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