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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226643

ASEC Mimosas VS San-Pédro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.32%
Draw
30.94%
Away
23.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4511
Log loss
0.7914

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
f4a9f08aabba59c16740b3197893781a7cf8fa6035fba4ba8b7230c3e91215e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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