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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226571

PAU VS Nantes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.33%
Draw
26.99%
Away
35.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
e5ee2f93e03b18006e18aef5231b9e219082a68e49856ac157deb58c335b26ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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