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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226515

Cacereño VS Lugo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.26%
Draw
29.21%
Away
37.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
20b937ca428d7d961c84a34d9196e86dbec9ac3e9633563f38ad7f6f9b50c54d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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