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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226335

Universitatea Craiova VS Egnatia Rrogozhinë

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.77%
Draw
20.79%
Away
14.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1882
Log loss
0.4343

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
c94c610b44f92565ab119155ca50d36cbed9404ba840d56754300385c288e591

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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