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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226323

Hapoel Beer Sheva VS OFI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.42%
Draw
24.66%
Away
29.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7581
Log loss
1.2064

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
ecbab83aba38d19a61b6da3a4e76645313076a68a5b1d3dbfee443ed8a40502e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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