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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22632

Hünfelder SV VS Baunatal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.91%
Draw
18.34%
Away
21.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0049
Log loss
1.5256

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
2abe56b158ced8a817dd718da0aaa909c2152d720c3173b2b2d6e5b5004eb208

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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