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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226233

Boston River VS Atletico Torque

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.48%
Draw
26.07%
Away
46.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4302
Log loss
0.7667

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
61aad07036195b0e78ceb5fcd296828732378fe7f62da655b0a977a56c4bd372

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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