Frozen pre-match forecast · #226187
Kairat U19 VS MTK U19
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 04 Nov 2026 · 09:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 82.67%
- Draw
- 10.41%
- Away
- 6.93%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.4908
- Log loss
- 2.2625
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
- SHA-256
- 46a27b4295af51aa65416ae254531f39007df1c297a18f18b505fa4cec102028
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.