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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226184

København U19 VS Dinamo Tbilisi U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.59%
Draw
22.11%
Away
38.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5605
Log loss
0.9266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
740c169df2189a79b16cdcebe8562efb9a7430349fd799864cd97ffefb487efc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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