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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226176

Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 VS Zurich U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.59%
Draw
24.00%
Away
27.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8888
Log loss
1.4271

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
58f01639ac79bcb3055bb6b05e9b1a69079f56a146ddddfd8ae99d164fcc8a33

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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