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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226175

Dinamo Zagreb U19 VS Qarabağ U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.69%
Draw
13.59%
Away
8.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0758
Log loss
0.2524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
2308e3f216494be690ac20d6b0e8359f560f88ec7e243d23d224589195f0f8a6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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