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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226110

Olympic Star VS Flambeau du Centre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.36%
Draw
28.30%
Away
30.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5160
Log loss
0.8829

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
4622e5054b36e49d91e194254daa9aec127eaf6c0c80958fa49ef50495c307f9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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