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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226092

Obolon' Kyiv U19 VS Metalist 1925 U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.88%
Draw
25.99%
Away
40.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8235
Log loss
1.3474

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
ea2f53c9cc467738a40c81a311c9ec23bb2be0a49b13af4a42a60c3ede4144cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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