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Frozen pre-match forecast · #226035

Clydebank VS Alloa Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.66%
Draw
18.70%
Away
16.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1875
Log loss
0.4360

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
11ab9ca94f6b7f8845439c2de3ae9a785da8dc0294445860cd1d35971b0b99b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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