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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225993

Vizela U23 VS Portimonense U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.91%
Draw
21.70%
Away
19.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0439
Log loss
1.6404

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
a33809ad52db67d38e02c90d1dbde29f13d39e45db5d90f3f2be876a8b9e0f20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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