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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225968

Najran VS Jubbah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:25 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.10%
Draw
25.16%
Away
24.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8723
Log loss
1.3800

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
fa8faacf3bd315199a5748b9e395e1b8bd696e99a84c31ca650c8a391fccffb0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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