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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225956

Al Jubail VS Al Sharq

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 11:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.31%
Draw
23.97%
Away
54.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9229
Log loss
1.4284

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
7a33177859a33f72859c58a23751a7c0dfc25f0d1ca1fea63b2ac60da599ae14

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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