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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225944

Ventforet Kofu VS Albirex Niigata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.35%
Draw
24.29%
Away
51.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3548
Log loss
0.6662

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
04cd629624a63f9874fa909d66a7acfc6fed68c8432cf888e9b8a8e2c607fa5b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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