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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225882

Diosgyori VTK VS Kecskeméti TE

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.01%
Draw
24.84%
Away
39.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5616
Log loss
0.9378

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
c93b664e6cb87aad2357632b7ac41126b4cf5abb9b55ed2c5ffcd7083284b3cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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