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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225872

Teuta Durrës VS Partizani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.85%
Draw
21.43%
Away
11.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2722
Log loss
2.1439

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
a3e5142245c60116087b971bace407a19246bddaa1dadf23c025bd2bf6a81d58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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