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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225857

Al Sadd VS Al-Ahli Jeddah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.35%
Draw
20.25%
Away
60.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0383
Log loss
1.5970

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
4fd99aef1665d7715af5aa11fd58f7be1085b947c12e07ee2bb13a670f65a594

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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