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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225844

Naft Bandar Abbas VS Novin Ahvaz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.48%
Draw
31.85%
Away
23.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8819
Log loss
1.4410

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
fe4675bee606e75d436d7e90528832a2adb889bef70860393cb5ecef9de0c6f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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