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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225843

BuxDu VS Jayxun

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.08%
Draw
23.78%
Away
47.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4205
Log loss
0.7520

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
c75cc6536f557b8caabd9f33aa18bf48579ff8f23597308900380b723e21b36f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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