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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225834

Hatta U23 VS Al Wahda U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.04%
Draw
22.35%
Away
51.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8633
Log loss
1.3455

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
bfc5af1a35fa9c0e6aaed1fb722dda515576391da73f096ccc482b69e3b814ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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