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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225817

Be'sat Kermanshah VS Saipa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.97%
Draw
30.46%
Away
42.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7375
Log loss
1.1888

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
cfa53c6fe24dfc8beb59ca9662eb8c9b3a2c1e2fdeecb4426d7dae039bb08c8f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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