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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225811

Deportivo Cali VS Chico

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:05 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.88%
Draw
19.86%
Away
10.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1406
Log loss
0.3583

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
ab23f3a6ca31c733a65f575c4a3b0244978669cd5237909e0287b0350d01f962

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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