Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #22581

Mandalskameratene VS Odd II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.48%
Draw
17.52%
Away
18.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1893
Log loss
0.4388

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
5bb1fc167b3fde2e56a22a6225417b2cb0d1fa7a93ca58b7ed5cd500b68f3dc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →