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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225772

Futbol Consultants Moravia VS Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.40%
Draw
25.92%
Away
34.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5547
Log loss
0.9314

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
59114dab18457194c1c7e1de9cf0eef26c02df6d580f01a3a56542f3c21fc7b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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