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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22576

Stjørdals-Blink VS Ull/Kisa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.90%
Draw
15.83%
Away
23.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2321
Log loss
0.4959

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
8fed0c5580e53457ade872087c79f7fe1bd7880f264cfa414259ebabd3bf5706

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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