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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225754

Extremadura 1924 VS Unionistas de Salamanca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.96%
Draw
25.29%
Away
21.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3325
Log loss
0.6356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
34193584695dbe2ec5947ddbf06d2d38195dadb8ff460aca99489a7880fcfada

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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