Frozen pre-match forecast · #225740
Palermo VS Vicenza Virtus
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 61.68%
- Draw
- 20.89%
- Away
- 17.43%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2209
- Log loss
- 0.4832
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
- SHA-256
- 7ffb216b4aaadef6cbbeebc457a71a74893177799a5c50e27c6835e2c71496bc
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.