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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225709

Badajoz VS Linares Deportivo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.90%
Draw
28.23%
Away
25.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7927
Log loss
1.2648

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
2398ece9c9fdaa44502f7f01048f8c9ab1776ab41812ba6e3ba405b697d250db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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