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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225672

Lalin VS Sarriana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.67%
Draw
27.28%
Away
39.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7947
Log loss
1.2990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
a0fad52bf382f8d78c0dc6b9041de7d2bdbaff6cf87d4488f4d8142fca6bd7fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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