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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225589

Recreativo Huelva II VS Egabrense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.81%
Draw
23.65%
Away
20.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9988
Log loss
1.5828

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
e1dcbdcb7a77ad8010e22750b36d24d7a0d7f56eb54c5e6a7961af6d640c9604

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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