Frozen pre-match forecast · #225575
Kasımpaşa VS Beşiktaş
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 18.47%
- Draw
- 22.17%
- Away
- 59.36%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.9922
- Log loss
- 1.5064
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- 0e14bb60b2b41b57d1e60a3c5d96d2ceb7e9e87dc43deb042d798a6a6cae4503
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.