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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225573

Salamanca UDS VS Gimnástica Segoviana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.00%
Draw
26.54%
Away
31.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5058
Log loss
0.8675

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0a549730ba928a3d9a2ab91e6b9ffc439bd0d8b53450e68d07e41e21996e7eaf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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