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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225562

Osasuna II VS Tudelano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.08%
Draw
27.69%
Away
30.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5035
Log loss
0.8656

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
309f05fb886bb0bfa2ece49d50604a683b4a63adf8d490104630939a2d86f512

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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