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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225557

Compostela VS Basconia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.07%
Draw
24.79%
Away
26.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8748
Log loss
1.3947

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
79c098c2dea940eb1c99ea13d84be274ab2b2c148ffdd328be57fc9fd5684ae6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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